The market is
the most honest
forecast.
The order book.
Cavaliers vs. 76ers
Polymarket · Cavaliers: 0% · 76ers: 100% · $7,952,853 24h vol
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00PM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the ga
Patriots vs. Bears
Polymarket · Patriots: 25% · Bears: 76% · $2,551,482 24h vol
In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Bears, scheduled for October 22 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Patriots" if Patriots win the game. This market will resolve to "Bears" if Bears win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a t
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Polymarket · Yes: 94% · No: 7% · $1,323,141 24h vol
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Polymarket · Yes: 98% · No: 2% · $738,983 24h vol
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface mis
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
Polymarket · Thunder: 36% · Nuggets: 65% · $662,484 24h vol
In the upcoming NBA game between Nuggets and Thunder, scheduled for October 22 at 9:30PM ET: If Thunder wins by more than 8.5 points, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If Nuggets loses by fewer than 8.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Nuggets".
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Polymarket · Yes: 0% · No: 100% · $656,669 24h vol
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket · Yes: 77% · No: 23% · $632,672 24h vol
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Polymarket · Bears: 60% · Patriots: 41% · $628,467 24h vol
In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Bears, scheduled for October 22 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if the Bears win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Overtime is included if played. If the g