The market is
the most honest
forecast.
The order book.
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket · Yes: 19% · No: 82% · $1,937,360 24h vol
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congr
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket · Boston Red Sox: 56% · Miami Marlins: 44% · $771,652 24h vol
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 24 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the g
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket · Yes: 1% · No: 99% · $755,661 24h vol
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Polymarket · Yes: 0% · No: 100% · $629,015 24h vol
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket · Tampa Bay Rays: 93% · Detroit Tigers: 8% · $519,365 24h vol
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for August 24 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If th
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Polymarket · Yes: 0% · No: 100% · $463,105 24h vol
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Polymarket · Yes: 0% · No: 100% · $378,342 24h vol
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminate
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Polymarket · Yes: 8% · No: 93% · $361,492 24h vol
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicati